| Have you ever wondered how the sports betting | | | | Idaho has played well, but it's going to be too |
| "smart money" became the smart money? Do | | | | much to ask their defense to stop the Rainbows... |
| you wonder what the sports betting smart | | | | er um, Warriors this week (personally I liked them |
| money does differently than the amateurs? | | | | better as the Rainbows). And keep in mind that |
| To understand the answer to those questions, | | | | Idaho is a very poor 7-13 ATS in their last |
| you can analyze how I went 10-1 last week with | | | | twenty games as a double-digit dog. This means |
| my sports betting selections. To best understand | | | | that when their up against a better team, the |
| how I do this, let's just look at the analysis for | | | | public underestimates how much of a mismatch |
| one game: Idaho at Hawaii. Here was my analysis: | | | | the game really is. Look for Hawaii to win, 52-20 |
| Idaho at Hawaii -26 | | | | The actual final score was 68-10. Not a bad |
| Wow... Hawaii's offense has been hard to stop this | | | | forecast for a game, right? How was I able to do |
| season. There only weakness that I spotted is | | | | this? |
| that their punter averaged ZERO yards kicking | | | | Simple. I just used some common sense along |
| last week.... Oh wait a minute... what's that? That's | | | | with a bit of historical data. Keep in mind that the |
| because he didn't have to punt last week.... | | | | only way to correctly handicap sporting events is |
| Nevermind. Hawaii's QB, Colton Brennan was 22-31 | | | | to use both current analysis combined with past |
| for 330 yards last week, and has thrown for 14 | | | | historical results. One or the other alone won't help |
| TD's and 1158 yards in his last THREE games. I | | | | you make any money in sports betting. |
| remember when season stats like that used to | | | | The way to be successful at handicapping games |
| get a QB All-American honors. | | | | and to make money with sports betting, one |
| Did I mention that Hawaii is averaging 46 points a | | | | must look at both historical patterns and current |
| game in their last 6 games? Hawaii is also on a | | | | match-ups. In this case, the history pointed to a |
| 15-6 run, and 9-1 as a favorite. For some more | | | | big win for Hawaii. The fact that the current Idaho |
| esoteric stats, Hawaii is also 10-1 in their 2nd | | | | team couldn't match-up well against Hawaii's |
| conference games, and 7-1 coming home after | | | | offense was the deciding factor. |
| two road games. | | | | |