| Have you ever wondered how the sports betting | | | | |
| "smart money" became the smart money? Do you | | | | Idaho has played well, but it's going to be |
| wonder what the sports betting smart money | | | | too much to ask their defense to stop the |
| does differently than the amateurs? | | | | Rainbows... er um, Warriors this week |
| | | | (personally I liked them better as the |
| To understand the answer to those questions, | | | | Rainbows). And keep in mind that Idaho is a |
| you can analyze how I went 10-1 last week | | | | very poor 7-13 ATS in their last twenty games |
| with my sports betting selections. To best | | | | as a double-digit dog. This means that when |
| understand how I do this, let's just look at | | | | their up against a better team, the public |
| the analysis for one game: Idaho at Hawaii. | | | | underestimates how much of a mismatch the |
| Here was my analysis: | | | | game really is. Look for Hawaii to win, 52-20 |
| | | | |
| Idaho at Hawaii -26 | | | | The actual final score was 68-10. Not a bad |
| | | | forecast for a game, right? How was I able |
| Wow... Hawaii's offense has been hard to stop | | | | to do this? |
| this season. There only weakness that I | | | | |
| spotted is that their punter averaged ZERO | | | | Simple. I just used some common sense along |
| yards kicking last week.... Oh wait a | | | | with a bit of historical data. Keep in mind |
| minute... what's that? That's because he | | | | that the only way to correctly handicap |
| didn't have to punt last week.... Nevermind. | | | | sporting events is to use both current |
| Hawaii's QB, Colton Brennan was 22-31 for 330 | | | | analysis combined with past historical |
| yards last week, and has thrown for 14 TD's | | | | results. One or the other alone won't help |
| and 1158 yards in his last THREE games. I | | | | you make any money in sports betting. |
| remember when season stats like that used to | | | | |
| get a QB All-American honors. | | | | The way to be successful at handicapping |
| | | | games and to make money with sports betting, |
| Did I mention that Hawaii is averaging 46 | | | | one must look at both historical patterns and |
| points a game in their last 6 games? Hawaii | | | | current match-ups. In this case, the history |
| is also on a 15-6 run, and 9-1 as a favorite. | | | | pointed to a big win for Hawaii. The fact |
| For some more esoteric stats, Hawaii is also | | | | that the current Idaho team couldn't match-up |
| 10-1 in their 2nd conference games, and 7-1 | | | | well against Hawaii's offense was the |
| coming home after two road games. | | | | deciding factor. |